Weather Briefing Notes
Hurricane Irene is a Cat3 Hurricane traveling NNW at 13 MPH in the area of the Bahamas.
The track has shifted to the West.
It is expected to be off the DELMARVA / NJ area on Sunday 8/28 at 8AM.
It is expected to downgrade to a Cat2 and track north across the NYC area.
Wind predictions are as follows, Tropical Winds (39-57 MPH) 40% to 50% probability 50 Knot + (58-73 MPH) 20% probability Hurricane Winds (74+ MPH) 10% probability.
These values will increase as the storm gets closer.
Torrential rains are forecasted for the areas north and west of NYC with the probability of 6″ to 12″ of rain from Saturday at noon through Sunday late PM.
The highest winds are forecasted for Sunday between 2PM and 11PM with 40-50 MPH sustained winds and gusts up to 70 MPH.
Our area has the potential to continue with Tropical Storm Force winds after midnight on Sunday into Monday.
The NWS is advising that all should plan for a Cat2 storm moving north at 30 MPH, but that the storm will most likely be a weak Cat2 or a strong Cat1 moving north at 20 MPH.
There may be a watch issuance as early as 5PM today but may not occur until 5AM tomorrow.
When the watch is posted NWS will issue storm surge probabilities.
NWS is advising that coastal areas should prepare for “significant storm surge of up to 12 feet with this storm. This does not include the astronomical high tide.
NWS is also advising that there is the possibility of wide spread major river and stream flooding north and west of NYC.
The following meetings are scheduled at this time:
8/26 0800 Highway Departments at the RCFTC to discuss and map out debris management.
8/26 1000 Orangetown Departments and Emergency Services at the Orangetown Town Hall.
8/26 1100 County Exec / Town Supervisors / Village Mayors at the RCFTC – Weather Briefing and 11:30 Press Conference.
8/26 1430 NWS Briefing on storm.